Private markets & real assetsMagellan Asset Management
Magellan Infrastructure quarterly update
Interest ratesInflation
Our summary
Listed infrastructure has become more attractive because higher bond yields reduced share prices while the underlying assets continued to deliver expected cash flows.
- The quarter was shaped by high energy prices, the war in Iran and rising global bond yields; US 10-year Treasury yields rose from just under 4.5% to about 5.3%.
- Most infrastructure assets offer built-in inflation protection, since toll roads and many utilities can raise prices with inflation, although this protection is not universal.
- Political risks include US governor races, consumer opposition to data centres, French corporate tax proposals affecting Vinci and reduced nationalisation concerns in the UK.
- Tower companies including Crown Castle and Cellnex, along with motorway operators Vinci and Ferrovial, detracted because they are more sensitive to interest rates and inflation, while UK utilities contributed positively.
- The portfolio's defensive, monopolistic assets have limited exposure to the AI theme, and unchanged cash flows imply higher embedded returns after the fall in share prices.
Takeaway: The manager sees an attractive outlook for infrastructure, but investors should distinguish between assets with genuine inflation pass-through and those that remain vulnerable to rates, inflation and political intervention.
Published by Magellan Asset Management. Summary by HF Best Ideas.