Bonds & creditProspect Capital Advisors
Why are CLO BB yields so high?
Our summary
CLO BB yields are high mainly because structural illiquidity, concentration and financing constraints require compensation beyond expected credit losses.
- CLO liabilities are dominated by senior tranches: AAA typically exceeds 60% of the stack, investment-grade tranches account for roughly 85%, and BBs represent only 3–4%, so a 100bp widening in BB spreads raises the deal’s weighted-average cost of capital by only about 3–4bp.
- CLO BBs hold overlapping loan portfolios, with roughly 30% collateral shared across each pair in the article’s illustration; their mezzanine position is typically threatened only after around 8% collateral losses, but systemic defaults could impair many BB tranches simultaneously.
- The CLO BB market is estimated at roughly $40 billion across thousands of CUSIPs, with a narrow institutional buyer base, no pure-play ETF and costly analysis involving waterfall, overcollateralization, interest-coverage and reinvestment modelling.
- Although CLO BBs have essentially no interest-rate duration because coupons float over SOFR, new-issue paper has spread duration of over 5 years, while bid-offer spreads can widen sharply during risk-off periods.
- Scarce repo and total-return-swap financing, regulatory capital charges and negative call convexity further support wide spreads; the proposed NAIC charge is 18.27% for a Ba3 tranche thicker than 4%, versus 28.07% for one thinner than 4%.
Takeaway: The article concludes that CLO BB premiums are primarily payment for illiquidity, mark-to-market volatility, concentration and structural disadvantages rather than hidden default risk; investors need specialised analytics, flexible mandates and enough liquidity to hold through spread cycles, while historical principal impairment in post-crisis BB tranches has been minimal.
Published by Prospect Capital Advisors. Summary by HF Best Ideas.