Investing process & styleRewey AM
How Does a Value Investor Think About AI?
Artificial intelligenceAI infrastructure
Our summary
AI users should ultimately create more durable investment value than the infrastructure companies benefiting from the current AI capital-spending boom.
- Rewey argues that AI data centers are not currently overbuilt because leading model developers still report a shortage of compute capacity, unlike the internet bubble’s excess fiber investment.
- In reviews of 2Q26 earnings and conference calls, companies emphasized using AI both to expand infrastructure and to reduce costs and increase revenue.
- AI infrastructure beneficiaries include data centers and suppliers of cooling, electrical systems, racks, cables, cement and contracting services, while the Atlanta Fed’s 3Q GDPNow estimate stood at 5.9% as of 8/4/26.
- Rewey expects infrastructure spending to face cyclical risks and difficult comparisons in late 2027 or 2028, even though current CAPX demand shows no sign of slowing.
- In 2Q26, several companies in financial services and consulting reported measurable cost savings from integrating AI into workflows, supporting a broader productivity opportunity.
Takeaway: Investors should look beyond AI infrastructure sellers toward companies using AI to improve operations, while recognizing execution risks, management differences and the possibility of both winners and losers.
Published by Rewey AM. Summary by HF Best Ideas.