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After a rally and a rate hike, what’s next for listed REITs?

United StatesCommercial real estateInterest rates

Our summary

Listed REITs can continue to outperform through the end of 2026 and into 2027 because they are early in a multi-year recovery cycle, fundamentals are improving and their diversification value is rising.

  • REITs gained 12% through September 15, 2026, despite higher interest rates, suggesting they are not driven solely by rate movements.
  • Second-quarter results indicate accelerating property cash-flow growth, while easing supply pressures are improving the outlook for industrial and apartment REITs.
  • Data centers benefit from accelerating hyperscaler capital spending; local moratoriums linked to power and water concerns could constrain future supply and support rents for existing facilities.
  • Senior housing fundamentals remain strong because demographic demand is increasing while new supply is not expected to rise meaningfully for several years; office markets are also gaining momentum as return-to-office trends strengthen and AI-related employment fears fade.
  • REIT valuations remain several turns below their historical average relative to the S&P 500, while concentrated equity valuations and higher stock-bond correlations make diversification more valuable.

Takeaway: Investors have not necessarily missed the REIT rally, but the thesis depends on continued cash-flow acceleration, moderating rate headwinds and sustained demand in data centers and senior housing.

Published by Cohen & Steers. Summary by HF Best Ideas.

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