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A Moving Yardstick: Dynamic Risk Profiles of the Indexes (October 2026)

United StatesMarket concentrationValuation dispersion

Our summary

Style indexes can materially change an investor’s risk exposure even when the investor’s objectives and risk tolerance remain unchanged.

  • Before the June 2025 reconstitution, the Russell 1000 Value Index’s top 10 holdings had an average P/E of 20x and a 2.4% yield; afterward, those figures were 34x and 1.1%.
  • The top 10 holdings rose from 18.4% of the index before June 2025 to 22.4% afterward, while the top three increased from 8.5% to 10.2%.
  • Before the June 2026 reconstitution, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft represented 15.2% of the index’s top-three holdings, and the top 10 had a 35x average P/E and a 1.2% yield.
  • After June 2026, the top three fell to 8.5%, the top 10 to 17.3%, the average P/E to 20x, and the yield rose to 2.4%, illustrating how quickly the benchmark can reverse its concentration and valuation profile.
  • Micron was the Value index’s best-contributing stock in the first half of 2026, but after moving into the Growth index in June it underperformed, creating different relative-performance consequences for value and growth managers that avoided it.

Takeaway: Benchmark-driven managers may need frequent trading and momentum exposure to track a shifting index, whereas investors should evaluate whether the manager’s actual risk profile remains aligned with their objectives rather than assuming that the value label is stable.

Published by Confluence Investment Management. Summary by HF Best Ideas.

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